Forecasting Germany’s Solar Energy Production: A Practical Approach with Prophet | by Aashish Nair | Sep, 2024

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Analysis and implementation with Python

Photo by Pixabay: https://www.pexels.com/photo/blue-solar-panel-board-356036/

Table of Contents

Introduction
Why Forecast Solar Power?
Data
Exploratory Data Analysis
Why Prophet?
Evaluation Criteria for Models
Baseline Model
Prophet Model (Default Hyperparameters)
Prophet Model (Tuned Hyperparameters)
Results and Discussion
Future Steps
Conclusion
References

Introduction

Germany is currently undergoing Energiewende, a long-term transition to a net-zero carbon economy that predominantly utilizes renewable energy resources to generate electricity. Solar power plays a pivotal role in ensures Germany’s energy security.

Therefore, the success of this transition greatly hinges on the ability to accurately predict future solar energy output. This article explores the feasibility of forecasting the solar energy generation in Germany using the Prophet Library.

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