Nonresponse Bias: How the Silent Majority Decided an Election, and Sunk a Beloved Publisher | by Sachin Date | Aug, 2024

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An intro to a statistical bias that makes its brutal presence felt through a complete absence of data

On a gray November evening, President Franklin Delano Roosevelt settled in front of the radio at Springwood, some 300 miles northeast of the White House.

An aerial view of Springwood, Hyde Park, NYC, USA looking southwest (June 6, 1932) Source: Franklin D. Roosevelt Presidential Library & Museum (License: public domain photo)

Nestled within the rolling wooded hills on the east bank of the Hudson, Springwood was Franklin Roosevelt’s lifelong home. It was the center of the world for the President. A place of familiarity and comfort that he returned to time and time again throughout the twelve years of his era-defining presidency.¹

Looking into the living Room, West, of Springwood as it was in July 1941. Source: U. S. Library of Congress/Wikimedia. (public domain photograph)

On that November evening, Roosevelt and his family had planted themselves in front of the radio for a special reason.

It was the evening of November 3, 1936.

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